The Fluctuation Relationship between Spot Price and Futures Price of Agricultural Products Based on Computational Ecology

Yuhao Qian, Wentan Wu, Baoming Cao, Junshi Chen

Ekoloji, 2019, Issue 108, Pages: 421-426


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He Yang, Kefei Liu, “A Study on Place Branding Strategy of Characteristic Agricultural Products in Xinjiang Based on Brand Ecosystem” on Issue 106, Pages: 1021-1028, Article No: e106191, in the article, The spot price of agricultural products is predicted by Q-RBF neural network optimization model, and the spot price of agricultural products and futures price are analyzed by regression analysis. The results show that there is a cointegration relationship and long-term equilibrium relationship between futures prices and spot prices, and the futures price of agricultural products is an unbiased estimate of spot prices. When the error correction item of the spot price of agricultural products is negative, the next futures price of agricultural product rises and the spot price decreases.


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